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Are Google Results Inflated?

Research report · Advertising & Media

Exposing the Outcomes of Google SEM Campaigns

ReleasedAugust 20, 2021
Length31 pages
Reading time~22 min
AuthorBrian Pasch
IncludesHard conversions & engagement measurements framework

Want the short version?

Read our one-minute summary, or ask your AI what this report means for your dealership.

Your Google Ads report looks great. Most of those conversions aren't sales.

This report explores the widespread inflation of Google Ads results in the automotive industry, uncovering that a majority of conversions are misrepresented as sales opportunities. Dealers must transition from Cost Per Lead (CPL) to Cost per Sales Opportunity (CSO) to more accurately measure the effectiveness of their advertising efforts.

67%of Google Ads hard conversions were phone calls (Dealer eProcess data)
12.84%of about one million Google SEM calls were sales opportunities
5-10xmore expensive to generate a sales opportunity with Google SEM than dealers think
Up to 3xmore engaged referral traffic from marketplace websites, and twice as likely to convert
Key findings

What's really behind the conversions.

Finding 01p. 8

Most conversions are phone calls.

In Dealer eProcess data, 67% of hard conversions from Google Ads were phone calls. In about one million SEM calls, only 12.84% were sales opportunities.

Finding 02p. 2

Conversions are counted too generously.

Many agencies don't separate sales calls and forms from service or administrative ones.

Finding 03p. 19

Measure cost per sales opportunity.

Move from Cost Per Lead (CPL) to Cost per Sales Opportunity (CSO).

Finding 04p. 24

Seven actions to fix Google Ads measurement.

Invest in call management, track shopping events, report CSO, EPS & PER, stop optimizing sales campaigns on calls & store visits, and add marketplace & local audience data.

In the full report
Inside the report

Eleven sections, from agency incentives to seven recommended actions.

  1. 01

    Executive Summary

    p. 2

    Why Google Ads results are hard to measure, and the case for moving from CPL to CSO.

  2. 02

    What If the Marketing Playbook Was Rigged?

    p. 4

    How agency bonuses and OEM co-op pushed Google Ads spend without clear KPIs.

  3. 03

    What Is Truly a Conversion

    p. 6

    Hard conversions vs engagement measurements, sorted by sales, service or admin.

  4. 04

    Call Outcome Measurement

    p. 8

    Most conversions are calls, few are for sales, and many sales calls are mishandled.

  5. 05

    Standards for Measuring & Reporting

    p. 11

    An open spec for tracking shopper engagement on dealer websites.

  6. 06

    Marketplaces vs Google SEM

    p. 12

    Marketplace referral traffic shows higher shopper engagement than Google SEM.

  7. 07

    Misleading Metrics

    p. 15

    How a reported 55% bounce rate hid a true abandon rate of 73%.

  8. 08

    What Was Once Optional Is Now Essential

    p. 16

    Using marketplace audiences and first-party data to lift Google Ads.

  9. 09

    Things to Consider

    p. 18

    Buying your own name, napkin math for sales opportunities, OEM co-op and call handling.

  10. 10

    Recommended Actions

    p. 24

    Seven steps, from call management to adding in-market audience data to Google.

  11. 11

    Final Thoughts

    p. 29

    What Google, agencies and OEMs need to fix in conversion setup and reporting.

Short on time? Read the Executive summary (p. 2) and the Recommended actions (p. 24). About 7 minutes.

Tools you can use on Monday
  • Hard conversions & engagement measurements framework
  • Call buckets for sorting phone conversions by department
  • Cost per Sales Opportunity (CSO) napkin-math formula
  • Seven recommended actions
  • Remove & request reporting metrics list
31 pages · Free PDF
About the research

Who's behind it, and how it was done.

The team, the method, and where the data came from.

BP
Brian PaschFounder, Pasch Group

Brian founded Pasch Group, where he works with dealers, OEMs and technology companies on marketing performance, data strategy and emerging retail technology. He also founded the Automotive Standards Council for GA4.

Read full bio

Brian Pasch is one of the most trusted voices in modern automotive retail, known for his forward-thinking approach to digital marketing, analytics and customer experience. As the founder of Pasch Group, he works closely with dealers, OEMs and technology companies to improve marketing performance, optimize data strategies and evaluate emerging retail technologies. His consulting is grounded in deep technical expertise and a hands-on, results-driven style. Brian founded the Automotive Standards Council for GA4, which is establishing industry-wide benchmarks for data consistency and visibility.

He is the creator of some of the industry’s most influential events, including the Modern Retailing Conference (MRC), the Digital Marketing Strategies Conference (DMSC) and the C-Suite Automotive Network (CXO). These gatherings bring together progressive dealers, tech innovators and OEM leaders to explore what’s next in automotive retail, with content-rich sessions and candid conversations that challenge the status quo.

Beyond his professional impact, Brian is known for his generosity as a teacher, his relentless curiosity and his commitment to helping others grow, traits that have earned him deep respect across the automotive industry.

Call data
About one million Google SEM calls analyzed by InteractiveTel
Other data
Dealer.com, Dealer eProcess, CallRevu, CallSource, CarWars, Cars.com, Autotrader, CarGurus and Dealer Inspire
Dealer reports
Google Ads campaign reports sent in by dealers
Dates
Most datasets cover January to May 2021
Read the full abstract

Over the past two decades, Google Ads have become a central part of automotive digital marketing, with most dealerships heavily investing in the platform to drive sales. However, this report uncovers a critical flaw in the way ad performance is measured and reported. Many Google-certified agencies conflate various types of conversions, such as phone calls and form submissions, without differentiating their purpose—whether they are sales, service, or administrative inquiries.

As a result, dealers are led to believe their Google Ads campaigns are more successful than they are in terms of generating sales opportunities. The report calls for a shift in the industry’s approach to ad reporting and strategy. It urges auto dealers to adopt a Cost per Sales Opportunity (CSO) framework that accurately reflects whether a conversion translates into a true sales lead. The report also highlights the importance of leveraging third-party marketplace data to enhance Google Ads effectiveness and reduce wasteful spending.

For your role

What's in it for you?

Pick your seat to see what this report means for your job.

Questions

Before you download.

Quick answers about the report and who it's for.

Are Google Ads results inflated for car dealers?

Often, yes. Are Google Results Inflated? found that many agencies count sales, service and administrative calls and forms alike, so Google Ads reports can make campaigns look stronger than they are. The report says generating a sales opportunity with Google SEM is 5-10x more expensive than dealers think.

How many Google Ads calls are sales opportunities?

Only 12.84%, in an analysis of about one million Google SEM calls by InteractiveTel. That figure comes from Pasch Group's report Are Google Results Inflated?, which uses data mostly from January to May 2021.

What share of dealer Google Ads conversions are phone calls?

In Dealer eProcess data, 67% of Google Ads hard conversions were phone calls. Many agencies don't separate sales calls from service or administrative ones, so Are Google Results Inflated? sorts phone conversions into call buckets by department.

What is Cost per Sales Opportunity (CSO)?

CSO measures what it costs to generate a real sales opportunity, not just any lead. Cost Per Lead (CPL) counts leads of any type. Are Google Results Inflated? recommends replacing cost per lead with CSO in reports and includes a napkin-math formula for estimating it.

How can dealers fix Google Ads measurement?

Start by reporting Cost per Sales Opportunity instead of cost per lead. Are Google Results Inflated? recommends seven actions, including investing in call management, tracking shopping events, no longer optimizing sales campaigns on calls and store visits, and adding marketplace and local audience data to Google Ads. GMs should ask their agency how many conversions were real sales opportunities.

Does marketplace traffic perform better than Google SEM for dealers?

In the report's data, yes. Referral traffic from marketplace websites was up to 3x more engaged and twice as likely to convert. Are Google Results Inflated? recommends adding marketplace audience data to Google Ads.

Is bounce rate a reliable metric for dealer websites?

Not on its own. In one example in Are Google Results Inflated?, a reported 55% bounce rate hid a true abandon rate of 73%. The report lists metrics dealers should remove from reports and metrics to request instead.

How was Are Google Results Inflated? researched?

It draws on about one million Google SEM calls analyzed by InteractiveTel, data from Dealer.com, Dealer eProcess, CallRevu, CallSource, CarWars, Cars.com, Autotrader, CarGurus and Dealer Inspire, and Google Ads campaign reports sent in by dealers. Most datasets cover January to May 2021. Brian Pasch wrote it, and it was published in August 2021.

Is Are Google Results Inflated? free?

Yes. It's a free 31-page PDF from Pasch Group, written for dealership marketing leaders and GMs. Download it on this page. Short on time? Read the executive summary and the recommended actions, about 7 minutes.

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